042 
ABNT20 KNHC 291146
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 29 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Tammy, located several hundred miles east of 
Bermuda.

Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL96):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located a couple of hundred miles east of the southeastern Bahamas 
continue to show signs of organization.  A short-lived tropical 
depression or storm is likely to form later today or tonight while 
the system moves west-northwestward.  By Tuesday, however, strong 
upper-level winds and dry air should end the chances of further 
development.  An Air Force reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to 
investigate the system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure could form in a few days over the 
central or southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Gradual development 
thereafter is possible while the system moves generally westward at 
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci