000
ABNT20 KNHC 161749
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A broad area of low pressure located over the central tropical 
Atlantic about midway between the Windward Islands and western 
Africa is producing a large area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.   Satellite data indicate that the low-level 
circulation continues to become better defined and, since 
environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for 
further development, a tropical depression is likely to form within 
a few days.  This system is forecast to move westward to 
west-northwestward across the central and western tropical Atlantic 
during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake