000
ABNT20 KNHC 121743
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Oct 12 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
upgraded Tropical Storm Sean, located over the central tropical 
Atlantic.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
Shower and thunderstorm activity is limited and disorganized this 
afternoon in association with a broad area of low pressure located 
several hundred miles to the south of the Cabo Verde Islands. While 
environmental conditions are currently only marginally favorable for 
slow development over the next couple of days, they are forecast to 
become more favorable by early next week. A tropical depression 
could form by the middle of next week as this system moves generally 
westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin