000
ABNT20 KNHC 090533
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Oct 9 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
A low-latitude tropical wave located several hundred miles south of 
the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of 
showers and thunderstorms. This system has become better organized 
since yesterday, and environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development of this system during the next several days.
A tropical depression is likely to form around midweek while it 
moves west-northwestward or northwestward across the eastern 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A small area of low pressure with disorganized thunderstorm 
activity has formed in the extreme southwestern Gulf of Mexico 
about 75 miles northeast of Coatzacoalcos, Mexico.  Further 
development, if any, is expected to be slow to occur while the 
system moves slowly northwestward.  Around midweek, the low is 
forecast to merge with a frontal system over the western Gulf of 
Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake