000
ABNT20 KNHC 251737
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 25 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Philippe, located over the central tropical Atlantic. 

Gulf of Mexico:
A trough of low pressure is producing limited shower activity over 
portions of the eastern Gulf of Mexico. This disturbance is moving 
westward into unfavorable environmental conditions, and development 
is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of 
the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form within the next few days as the system moves 
west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Konarik/Cangialosi