000 ABNT20 KNHC 251128 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Mon Sep 25 2023 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Philippe, located over the central tropical Atlantic. Southeastern Gulf of Mexico: A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized shower activity over portions of the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur over the next day or two while it moves slowly westward. The disturbance is expected to move into unfavorable environmental conditions by the middle of the week, ending its chances for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91): An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days as the system moves west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Konarik