000
ABNT20 KNHC 250513
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Sep 25 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Philippe, located over the central tropical Atlantic. 

Southeastern Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the 
southeastern Gulf of Mexico in association with a surface trough of 
low pressure and an upper-level trough. Further development, if any, 
is expected to be slow to occur over the next few days while the 
system moves slowly westward.  By the middle of the week, 
upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for 
additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91):
An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of 
the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a broad area of showers 
and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form around mid-week as the system moves 
west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly