000
ABNT20 KNHC 192310
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Sep 19 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Nigel, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa by 
Wednesday.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive 
for gradual development of the wave thereafter, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend while 
the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph across the 
eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Western Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form east of the 
Florida peninsula late this week.  This system could acquire some 
subtropical characteristics this weekend while it moves generally 
northward.  Regardless of development, this low is likely to bring 
gusty winds, heavy rain, and high surf to portions of the Southeast 
and Mid-Atlantic United States late this week and into this weekend. 
Please see products from your local National Weather Service office 
for more details.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci