000
ABNT20 KNHC 112344
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Lee, located a few hundred miles north of the northern Leeward 
Islands, and on recently upgraded Hurricane Margot, located over the 
central subtropical Atlantic.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL97):
A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce 
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity primarily to the west 
of its center. Development of this system is unlikely before it 
merges with a another area of low pressure (AL98) to its east during 
the next couple of days. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. 

Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL98):
A broad area of low pressure has formed along a tropical wave 
located over the eastern tropical Atlantic south of the Cabo Verde 
Islands. This system is currently producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms but environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development of this system, especially after is merges with 
an area of low pressure to its west (AL97). A tropical depression is 
likely to form from the combined system by this weekend as it moves 
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the central 
tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. 

$$
Forecaster Papin