000
ABNT20 KNHC 070513
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Sep 7 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Lee, located over the central tropical Atlantic.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in 
association with a broad area of low pressure located over the 
eastern tropical Atlantic near the Cabo Verde Islands.  
Environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for 
additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
during the next couple of days while the disturbance moves toward 
the west-northwest at about 15 mph.  Heavy rains and gusty winds 
associated with this system are now occurring over the Cabo Verde 
Islands, and these conditions are expected to continue during the 
next several hours. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Northeastern Atlantic (ex-Franklin):
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with Post-Tropical 
Cyclone Franklin, located a few hundred miles west-northwest of the 
northwestern coast of Spain, have not become better organized and 
the system remains frontal.  The system could briefly acquire some 
subtropical or tropical characteristics later today while it moves 
northward and then meanders northwest of Spain and Portugal, but 
environmental conditions appear to become unfavorable for further 
development by tonight.  For additional information, including gale 
warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

&&

Additional information on Post-Tropical Cyclone Franklin can be 
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header 
FQNT50 LFPW and online at
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/
metarea2

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi