000
ABNT20 KNHC 041151
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 4 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Gert, located over the central subtropical Atlantic, and on 
Tropical Depression Katia, located over the eastern subtropical 
Atlantic.
 
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL95):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization 
in association with a tropical wave located several hundred miles 
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are 
forecast to be conducive for further development, and this system is 
expected to become a tropical depression around midweek. Additional 
strengthening is likely late this week while the system moves 
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the central and 
western portions of the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move off the 
African coast in a couple of days.  Environmental conditions should 
support some slow development, and a tropical depression could form 
over the far eastern tropical Atlantic around the latter part of 
the week while the wave moves to the west-northwest at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake