000
ABNT20 KNHC 010515
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Sep 1 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Franklin, located a few hundred miles northeast of Bermuda, on 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Idalia, located midway between the coast of 
North Carolina and Bermuda, and on Tropical Storm Jose, located 
several hundred miles east of Bermuda.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in 
association with an elongated area of low-pressure located just 
west of the Cabo Verde Islands. A short-lived tropical depression 
or tropical storm is expected to form today while the system moves 
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gert):
Showers and thunderstorms have become better organized during the 
past several hours in association with an area of low-pressure 
located several hundred miles north-northeast of the northern 
Leeward Islands.  If this current trend continues, a tropical 
depression is likely to form today before upper-level winds 
become increasingly unfavorable over the weekend.  The system is 
forecast to meander over the subtropical Atlantic through this 
weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa 
this weekend.  Environmental conditions could support some gradual 
development of this system through the middle part of next week 
while it moves westward to west-northwestward over the eastern and 
central portions of the tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Roberts