000
ABNT20 KNHC 290553
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Aug 29 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Franklin, located several hundred miles west-southwest of Bermuda, 
and on Tropical Storm Idalia, located over the extreme southeastern 
Gulf of Mexico.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located just off the west coast of Africa is 
producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for gradual 
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form 
later in the week while the system moves west-northwestward to 
northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms have recently become more concentrated 
with an area of low pressure located about 1000 miles northeast of 
the northern Leeward Islands. Recent satellite wind data also 
indicates that its circulation has become better defined. 
Environmental conditions appear favorable for additional development 
over the next couple of days before becoming more unfavorable by the 
latter part of this week as the system drifts slowly over the 
central subtropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin