000
ABNT20 KNHC 302336
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has become a little more organized 
in association with an area of low pressure located about 700 miles 
east-northeast of the Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions are 
forecast to be marginally favorable for development over the next 
few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the 
next day or so. The system is expected to move northwestward at 
about 15 mph during the next day or so, and then turn northward 
over the central subtropical Atlantic by late Monday or Tuesday. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Off the North Carolina Coast (AL97):
Shower and thunderstorm activity is showing some signs of 
organization in association with an area of low pressure located 
offshore of North Carolina. Environmental conditions appear 
generally favorable for some additional development, and a 
short-lived tropical cyclone could develop before the system merges 
with a frontal boundary in a couple of days. Regardless of whether 
the system becomes tropical or not, gale-force winds are 
expected starting on Monday, and additional information on this 
system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

&&
For more information about marine hazards associated with AL97, 
please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, 
and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Kelly/Blake