000
ABNT20 KNHC 300523
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jul 30 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located about 1000 miles 
east-northeast of the Leeward Islands are associated with a 
tropical wave and broad area of low pressure.  Environmental 
conditions are forecast to be favorable for gradual development of 
this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form during the early part of the week.  The disturbance 
is expected to move northwestward at about 15 mph during the next 
day or so, and then turn northward over the central subtropical 
Atlantic by late Monday or Tuesday. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly/Beven