000
ABNT20 KNHC 282338
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
A tropical wave located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands 
and the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized cloudiness 
and showers.  Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable 
for gradual development of this system during the next few days, and 
a tropical depression could form early next week while the 
disturbance moves west-northwestward to northwestward at about 
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Southeastern United States:
Satellite, surface, and radar data show that a weak area of low 
pressure is moving farther inland over southeastern Georgia, and 
development is not expected.  The disturbance could bring locally 
heavy rainfall to portions of northeastern Florida, eastern Georgia, 
and eastern South Carolina during the next day or so. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.  

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
Satellite and surface observations indicate that a tropical wave 
and an associated broad area of low pressure over the southwestern 
Caribbean Sea are moving inland over Central America, and 
development is not expected. However, locally heavy rainfall is 
possible over portions of Nicaragua, Honduras, and El Salvador 
during the next day or so. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.  

$$
Forecaster Beven