000
ABNT20 KNHC 281728
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jul 28 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands 
and the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized cloudiness 
and showers.  Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable 
for gradual development of this system during the next few days, and 
a tropical depression could form early next week while the 
disturbance moves west-northwestward to northwestward at about 
15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Southwestern Atlantic:
Satellite, surface, and radar data show that a weak area of low 
pressure has moved just inland near the Florida/Georgia border.  
This system is forecast to move north-northwestward over inland 
portions of eastern Georgia through tonight, and no additional 
development is expected.  The disturbance could bring locally heavy 
rainfall to portions of northeastern Florida, eastern Georgia, and 
eastern South Carolina during the next day or so. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.  

Southwestern Caribbean Sea:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the 
southwestern Caribbean Sea and portions of Central America are 
associated with a tropical wave and broad area of low pressure 
located near the eastern coast of Central America.  This system is 
forecast to move westward over Central America later today or 
tonight, and significant development is not anticipated.  Regardless 
of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of 
Nicaragua and Honduras during the next day or so. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.  

$$
Forecaster Brown