000 ABNT20 KNHC 211159 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun May 21 2023 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Southwestern Tropical Atlantic: A surface trough interacting with an upper-level low is producing a large area of disturbed weather extending a couple hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas. Upper-level winds are expected to increase later today and development of this system is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Kelly/Bucci