000
ABNT20 KNHC 291141
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Eastern Caribbean:
A broad area of low pressure over the eastern Caribbean Sea is 
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual 
development over the next few days, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form by early next week while the disturbance moves slowly 
westward or west-northwestward over the central Caribbean Sea. 
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over 
portions of the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico 
through this weekend. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Western Atlantic:
A low pressure area located about 150 miles west-northwest of 
Bermuda is producing some shower and thunderstorm activity to the 
north of the center as it begins to interact with a nearby frontal 
system. Upper-level winds are forecast to increase over the system 
later today and tonight, and further development is not anticipated 
after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart