319 ABNT20 KNHC 231138 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Oct 23 2022 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Central Subtropical Atlantic: A trough of low pressure located well to the east of Bermuda continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Although environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for development during the next few days, the disturbance could still acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics while it moves generally west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the subtropical Atlantic. By the middle part of this week, further development appears unlikely as the system turns northward over the cooler waters of the northwestern Atlantic and encounters stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown/Bucci