000
ABNT20 KNHC 132316
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 13 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Karl, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located 
several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands is associated 
with a tropical wave.  Environmental conditions appear marginally 
conducive for some slow development during the next few days while 
the system moves westward and then west-northwestward at about 10 
mph.  However, the disturbance is expected to move into a less 
favorable area of stronger upper-level winds on Sunday or Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. 

$$
Forecaster Berg