000
ABNT20 KNHC 102316
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 10 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwest Gulf of Mexico:
A trough of low pressure over the southern portion of the Yucatan 
Peninsula is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. 
Some development of this system is possible on Tuesday and Wednesday 
when the system moves slowly west-northwestward to northwestward 
over the far southwestern Gulf of Mexico.  Increasing upper-level 
winds should prevent significant development late this week.  
Regardless of development, heavy rain is expected over portions of 
southern Mexico, Belize, and Guatemala during the next couple of 
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown