536 
ABNT20 KNHC 101732
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Oct 10 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwest Gulf of Mexico:
A trough of low pressure over the Yucatan Peninsula is producing 
disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms.  Some development of 
this system is possible on Tuesday and Wednesday when the system 
moves slowly west-northwestard to northwestward over the far 
southwestern Gulf of Mexico.  Increasing upper-level winds should 
prevent significant development late this week.  Regardless of 
development, heavy rain is expected over portions of southern 
Mexico, Belize, and Guatemala during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake