000
ABNT20 KNHC 201134
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 20 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Fiona, located near the Turks and Caicos islands.

Central Subtropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to become better 
organized in association with an area of low pressure located over 
the central subtropical Atlantic, about 950 miles west-southwest of 
the westernmost Azores.   Environmental conditions appear marginally 
favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form within the next day or so before upper-level winds 
become less conducive later this week.  The system should move 
generally northward or northeastward while remaining over the open 
waters of central subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Windward 
Islands is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms while moving westward at 15-20 mph.  Gradual 
development of this system is forecast during the next several days 
as the system approaches the Windward Islands, and a tropical 
depression could form by the latter part of this week as the system 
moves into the eastern and central Caribbean sea. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci