000
ABNT20 KNHC 171131
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 17 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Fiona, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

Western Atlantic:
A frontal low located just to the northeast of Bermuda has an 
elongated circulation and continues to produce disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms well to the east of its center.  Development of 
this system into a tropical cyclone is not expected due to strong 
upper-level winds.  The low is expected to move slowly 
east-southeastward and then become nearly stationary over the next 
day or two.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

Central Atlantic:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central Atlantic are 
associated with the northern portion of a tropical wave.  Some slow 
development of this system is possible during the early or middle 
part of next week while it moves slowly northwestward to northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg