000
ABNT20 KNHC 161116
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 16 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Fiona, located a couple of hundred miles east-southeast 
of the Leeward Islands. 

Western Atlantic:
A frontal low over the western Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles 
west-northwest of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  This low is expected to move eastward to 
east-southeastward at 10 to 15 mph, and development into a tropical 
cyclone is not anticipated due to strong upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Central Atlantic:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical 
Atlantic Ocean are associated with the northern end of a tropical 
wave.  Some slow development of this system is possible early next 
week while it moves northwestward to northward over the central 
subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg