000
ABNT20 KNHC 131730
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Sep 13 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Central Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located 
about 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles have changed little in 
organization since this morning.  Although environmental conditions 
are only marginally conducive, some gradual development of this 
system is possible over the next few days.  A tropical depression 
could form while the system moves westward to west-northwestward 
over the tropical Atlantic and approaches the Leeward Islands on 
Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave passing 
near the Cabo Verde Islands have diminished and become more limited 
today.  Environmental conditions are forecast to remain only 
marginally favorable during the next several days, and the chance 
for development appears to be decreasing.  The system is forecast to 
move westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central 
tropical Atlantic through the end of the week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown