000
ABNT20 KNHC 022204
TWOAT 

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
605 PM EDT Fri Sep 2 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to update the discussion of 
the low pressure system located east of the Leeward Islands.

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Danielle, located about 900 miles west of the Azores.

East of the Leeward Islands:
Updated:  Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft 
indicate that the circulation associated with an area of low 
pressure located a couple of hundred miles east of the Leeward 
Islands has become better defined today, and the plane reported that 
surface pressures have fallen a bit.  If the showers and 
thunderstorms associated with the low persist through the evening, 
the system could become a tropical depression as early as tonight.  

The disturbance is expected to move slowly west-northwestward, 
toward the adjacent waters of the northern Leeward Islands. 
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains may occur over 
portions of the Leeward Islands during the next couple of days, and 
interests in that area should monitor the progress of the system. 
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas 
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located 
northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has diminished. Significant 
development is not expected as this system moves generally 
west-northwestward into an area of unfavorable environmental 
conditions.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Berg