000
ABNT20 KNHC 191135
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 19 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Southwestern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of 
Mexico and the Bay of Campeche is producing poorly organized  shower 
activity.  Environmental conditions appear favorable for slow 
development, and a tropical depression could form late today or on 
Saturday while the system moves northwestward across the 
southwestern Gulf of Mexico. However, by Saturday night, the system 
is expected to move inland over northeastern Mexico, which will end 
its chances of development. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter 
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if 
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven