000 ABNT20 KNHC 020351 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1150 PM EDT Fri Jul 1 2022 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special outlook issued to update discussion of the low pressure system along the South Carolina coast. Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Bonnie, located near the Nicaragua/Costa Rica border. Near the South Carolina Coast: Updated: Recent surface observations indicate that a small low pressure system located just inland to the west of Charleston, South Carolina, is producing localized areas of winds to tropical storm force along the South Carolina coast. This system is expected to move northeastward along the South Carolina and North Carolina coasts over the weekend, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form if the center of the low remains close enough to the Atlantic waters during that time. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains, which could cause flash flooding across coastal portions of the Carolinas over the weekend. See products issued by the Weather Prediction Center and your local National Weather Service forecast office for more details. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Near the Windward Islands: A tropical wave located over the Windward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Significant development of this system is not expected to occur while it moves west- northwestward into unfavorable conditions over the eastern Caribbean Sea. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && For more information on the system near Carolina coast, see products issued by the National Weather Service at weather.gov and wpc.ncep.noaa.gov $$ Forecaster Berg/Papin