000
ABNT20 KNHC 260546
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased in association with 
a tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic. Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for further development, and a tropical 
depression is likely to form during the early to middle part of this 
week.  This system is forecast to move westward at 15 to 20 mph over 
the tropical Atlantic, approach the Windward Islands on Tuesday, and 
move across the southeastern Caribbean Sea on Wednesday and 
Thursday.  Interests in the Windward Islands should monitor the 
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Northern Gulf of Mexico:
An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms extending from  
southeastern Louisiana across the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and 
the Florida peninsula is associated with a trough of low pressure.  
Slow development of this system could occur as it drifts westward 
across the northern Gulf of Mexico over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake/Bucci