000
ABNT20 KNHC 252340
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jun 25 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave over the central Tropical Atlantic continues to 
produce only limited shower activity.  Environmental conditions 
appear conducive for development of this system over the next few 
days, and a tropical depression could form during the early to 
middle part of next week.  This system is forecast to move westward 
at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic, approach the Windward 
Islands on Tuesday, and move across the southern Caribbean Sea on 
Wednesday and Thursday.  Interests in the Windward Islands should 
monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Northern Gulf of Mexico:
An area of cloudiness and thunderstorms extending from the 
southeastern United States across the Florida Peninsula to near the 
northwestern Bahamas is associated with a trough of low pressure.  
Slow development of this system could occur as it drifts westward 
across the northern Gulf of Mexico over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven