422 ABNT20 KNHC 301734 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A strong low pressure system located several hundred miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland, continues to produce some shower activity near and to the east of its center while moving southeastward at around 15 mph. The low appears to be gradually losing its frontal structure, and the system is likely to transition to a subtropical storm by early next week while it meanders over the central subtropical Atlantic. By the middle of next week, the system is expected to turn northward and move toward colder waters. For more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of organization, and environmental conditions could support some development of this system during the next couple of days while it moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Upper-level winds are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further development by the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Reinhart