000
ABNT20 KNHC 100524
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Oct 10 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large non-tropical low pressure area is nearly stationary located 
about 100 miles southeast of Morehead City, North Carolina.  While 
recent satellite wind data indicates that the center has become 
better defined while producing an area of gale-force winds in its 
northern semicircle, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity 
near the center is minimal and has not become better organized.  
This system could still become a short-lived subtropical storm later 
today, but environmental conditions should become unfavorable for 
any further development on Monday.  The low is forecast to move 
slowly northward and approach eastern North Carolina later today.  
Interests in that area should monitor the progress of this system 
and refer to local National Weather Service office products for more 
information. Regardless of development, intermittent periods of 
locally heavy rains and gusty winds will affect southeastern and 
eastern portions of North Carolina during the next day or two.  
Additional information on this low pressure system, including gale 
warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

$$
Forecaster Papin