540 
ABNT20 KNHC 061729
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Oct 6 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Recent buoy and satellite wind data indicate that a weak area of 
low pressure is developing about 175 miles east of the northeastern 
coast of Florida, but the associated shower and thunderstorm 
activity remains disorganized due to strong upper-level winds.  The 
low is expected to move northward and then northeastward at 5 to 10 
mph off the southeastern coast of the United States during the next 
few days, and upper-level winds are expected to remain too strong 
for significant development.  By the weekend, the system is 
forecast to interact with a front near the coast of the southeastern 
United States, which could also limit tropical development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg