000
ABNT20 KNHC 252332
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Sep 25 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane  
Sam, located about 1000 miles east-southeast of the northern 
Leeward Islands, and has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical 
Cyclone Teresa, located about 150 miles north of Bermuda.

An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with 
the remnants of Peter is located several hundred miles 
south-southeast of Bermuda.  Environmental conditions appear 
marginally conducive for slow development of this disturbance over 
the next few days as it moves northeastward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa by 
early Monday.  Thereafter, environmental conditions are forecast 
to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression 
could form by the middle of next week while the system moves 
westward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

A broad area of low pressure could form over the eastern or central 
tropical Atlantic early next week, to the west of the tropical 
wave that will be moving off the coast of Africa.  Environmental 
conditions appear favorable for some development of this 
disturbance while it moves slowly westward through the middle of 
next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg