000
ABNT20 KNHC 251748
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Sep 25 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane  
Sam, located almost 1100 miles east-southeast of the northern 
Leeward Islands, and on recently downgraded Subtropical Depression 
Teresa, located about 140 miles north of Bermuda.

An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with 
the remnants of Peter is located several hundred miles south of 
Bermuda. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for 
slow development of this disturbance over the next few days as it 
moves northeastward at 5 to 10 mph.
*Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
*Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa by 
early Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions are forecast 
to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression 
could form by the middle of next week while the system moves 
westward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Subtropical Depression Teresa are issued under 
WMO header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Depression Teresa are issued 
under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

$$
Forecaster Beven