000
ABNT20 KNHC 091754
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Sep 9 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Larry, located over the western Atlantic a few hundred miles 
east-southeast of Bermuda, and on Tropical Depression Mindy, 
located inland over southeastern Georgia. 

The northern portion of a tropical wave is producing disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms over northeastern Honduras and the western 
Caribbean Sea.  This system is forecast to emerge over the southern 
Bay of Campeche on Saturday.  Environmental conditions are expected 
to be conducive to support some gradual development of this 
disturbance before it moves over mainland Mexico early next week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

A strong tropical wave is expected to emerge off of the west coast 
of Africa Saturday.  Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive for development thereafter, and a tropical depression 
could form late this weekend or early next week as it moves 
west-northwestward over the far eastern Atlantic near the Cabo Verde 
Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Mindy are issued under WMO 
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. 
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Mindy are issued under 
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

$$
Forecaster Pasch/Hagen