000
ABNT20 KNHC 072115 CCB
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Sep 7 2021

Corrected Hurricane Larry reference direction from Bermuda

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Larry, located over the central Atlantic several hundred miles 
southeast of Bermuda.

Showers and thunderstorms have increased today over the 
south-central Gulf of Mexico in association with a surface trough 
and an upper-level disturbance.  The system is expected to move 
slowly northeastward over the central and northeastern Gulf of 
Mexico during the next couple of days.  Upper-level winds are 
currently unfavorable for development, but they are forecast to 
become more conducive for some limited tropical or subtropical 
cyclone development as the system nears the northern Gulf coast on 
Wednesday and Wednesday night.  The disturbance is then expected to 
cross the southeastern United States, and some slight additional 
development will be possible after it emerges off the southeastern 
United States coast late this week.  Regardless of development, 
areas of heavy rainfall will be possible across portions of the 
Florida panhandle and southern Georgia on Wednesday and Thursday, 
with localized flooding possible.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart