000
ABNT20 KNHC 041141
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 4 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Larry, located over the central tropical Atlantic about midway 
between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles.

A surface trough over portions of Central America and the southern 
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico is producing disorganized shower and 
thunderstorm activity.  This system is expected to move 
northwestward during the next day or so, bringing locally heavy 
rains to these areas.  The disturbance is forecast to emerge over 
the southwestern or south-central Gulf of Mexico on Sunday, and then 
move northward or northeastward over the central Gulf of Mexico 
through the middle of next week. Unfavorable upper-level winds are 
expected to limit development through Monday, but environmental 
conditions could become marginally favorable for some gradual 
development on Tuesday or Wednesday. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven