000
ABNT20 KNHC 290549
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Aug 29 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Ida, located over the east-central Gulf of Mexico, on Tropical 
Depression Ten, located over the central tropical Atlantic, and 
on newly formed Tropical Depression Eleven, located over the 
central subtropical Atlantic.

A weak trough of low pressure associated with a decaying frontal 
boundary is currently centered just east off the Mid-Atlantic United 
States coastline.  This system is producing a few disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms over the warm Gulf Stream waters. 
Environmental conditions appear favorable for some slow development 
over the next few days as this system drifts southeastward, 
remaining offshore of the eastern United States coastline.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the coast of west Africa 
by the middle of this week.  Thereafter, environmental conditions 
appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression 
is likely to form toward the end of the week as the system moves 
west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under WMO 
header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Ten are issued under 
WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven are issued under WMO 
header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1. 
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven are issued under 
WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Papin