000
ABNT20 KNHC 151731
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
re-designated Tropical Storm Fred, located over the east-central 
Gulf of Mexico, and on Tropical Storm Grace, located over the 
northeastern Caribbean Sea just to the south of Puerto Rico.

A small but well-defined low pressure system located about 175 
miles northeast of Bermuda continues to produce disorganized 
shower and thunderstorm activity.  Environmental conditions appear 
conducive for some development of this low during the next couple 
of days, and a tropical depression could form while it moves slowly 
to the south or south-southwest at about 5 mph, near or to the east 
of Bermuda.  By Tuesday, upper-level winds are forecast to become 
less conducive for tropical cyclone formation.  Interests in Bermuda 
should monitor the progress of this system during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg