000
ABNT20 KNHC 150532
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Aug 15 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Grace, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea just to 
the southeast of Puerto Rico.

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on the Remnants 
of Fred, which are expected to re-generate into a tropical cyclone 
over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico later today. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A small but well-defined low pressure system located about 200 miles 
north-northeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms mainly to the south and southwest of the center. Some 
gradual development is possible over the next couple of days while 
the system moves slowly southward near or to the east of Bermuda. By 
Tuesday, however, environmental conditions are forecast to become 
less conducive for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart