000
ABNT20 KNHC 121144
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 12 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Fred, located about 40 miles west-southwest of Great 
Inagua, Bahamas.

Showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized in association with a 
tropical wave located about 1400 miles east of the Lesser 
Antilles.  Environmental conditions are expected to gradually 
become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression 
could form by early next week while the system moves generally 
westward at about 20 mph across the tropical Atlantic.  This system 
is expected to reach portions of the Leeward Islands late Saturday 
or early Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg