000
ABNT20 KNHC 112348
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Aug 11 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
downgraded Tropical Depression Fred, located inland over the 
central portion of Hispaniola.

A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic about 
1600 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions 
are expected to gradually become more conducive for development, 
and a tropical depression could form by early next week while the 
system moves generally westward at about 20 mph across the tropical 
Atlantic.  This system could reach portions of the Leeward Islands 
by late Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Stewart