000
ABNT20 KNHC 060538
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 6 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few 
hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is 
associated with a tropical wave interacting with a broader surface 
trough.  Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive for 
gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally 
west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues 
to produce some disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  This system 
is expected to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, and some 
slow development is possible early next week when it is expected to 
be near the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Beven