000
ABNT20 KNHC 041215 CCA
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 4 2021

Corrected order of disturbances

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A small and weak area of low pressure, with limited shower and 
thunderstorm activity, is passing near the Cabo Verde Islands.  
Significant development of this system is not expected during the 
next day or so due to unfavorable environmental conditions. 
Thereafter, this system is forecast to move northward or 
north-northwestward over cooler waters, ending its development 
chances.  Locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over 
portions of the Cabo Verde Islands through today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is 
producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  
Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive 
for some slow development east of the Lesser Antilles by Sunday and 
into early next week while the disturbance moves west-northwestward 
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by 
late Thursday. Environmental conditions appear somewhat conducive 
for some slow development over the far eastern Atlantic through the 
weekend into early next week while the system moves generally 
westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Stewart