000
ABNT20 KNHC 292326
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jun 29 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is 
located about midway between the west coast of Africa and the 
Windward Islands.  This system is producing a large area of showers 
and thunderstorms that are starting to show some signs of 
organization.  Environmental conditions appear generally favorable 
for development, and a tropical depression could form during the 
next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 20 
mph.  Interests in the Windward and Leeward Islands should closely 
monitor this system as it will likely be moving through that region 
on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with 
a tropical wave located a few hundred miles east of the Lesser 
Antilles.  Development, if any, of this system should be slow to 
occur as the tropical wave moves quickly westward to 
west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph, passing through the Lesser 
Antilles on Wednesday and then across the eastern and central 
Caribbean Sea later this week.  Regardless of development, this 
system could bring locally heavy rainfall to portions of the Lesser 
Antilles during the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi