000
ABNT20 KNHC 092345
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Eta, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a gale-force low  
pressure system located several hundred miles southwest of the 
Azores has become a little more concentrated near the center and 
it appears to be becoming more distinct from the frontal boundary 
located to the northeast of the system. If these trends continue, a 
subtropical or tropical storm is likely to form tonight or Tuesday 
while the system moves east or east-northeast over the northeastern 
Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move over the central Caribbean Sea, 
where an area of low pressure could form in a couple of days. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for 
development, and a tropical depression could form late this week or 
over the weekend while the system moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

&& 

Additional information on the central Atlantic gale area can be 
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service...under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Brown