000
ABNT20 KNHC 082347 CCB
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2020

Corrected 5-day formation chance category for first disturbance

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Eta, located just southeast of the southern Florida Peninsula 
and the Florida Keys. 

A low pressure system is located several hundred miles southwest of 
the Azores. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the 
system is beginning to show some signs of organization. This low 
could develop further over the next several days, and a tropical or 
subtropical storm could develop by the end of the week while this 
system moves eastward or east-northeastward over the northeastern 
Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A tropical wave is forecast to move over the central Caribbean Sea, 
where an area of low pressure could form in a few days. 
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for 
development as the system moves slowly westward through the end of 
the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Beven